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WritingsApr 7, 2025Source article

Your Lucky Week

If a likely event has not happened yet, each passing week can bring its probability closer—making the moment you want to quit the moment your chances may be highest.

If an event E is to occur, over any set of time.

And that time is quantized over days, weeks, and months.

Again, to reiterate, if that event has a high probability of occuring over a certain long period of time.

And that long period of time T is composed of X weeks W.

Vintage illustration of a rising weekly probability curve beneath the words Hopeful Thinking

Then as the weeks go on, and you keep your wits about you.

I.e don't give up. Then week by week, the probability goes up.

It is fascinating that as time goes on, you become ever more willing to give up.

Nearing the end of your whits. This is perfectly natural.

But its funny, because as you get closer to the end, you are more willing to give up.

But your chances of success are actually the highest right when you are about to quit.

So then if probability P gets higher and higher, for it occuring in each week, the longer we go (assuming that the event E will occur at some point).

Then technically speaking, maybe, just maybe, this is your week.

Imagine waking up on Monday morning thinking:

'This is my week. This is it.'

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